Financial Mathematics Text

Showing posts with label Bubble. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Bubble. Show all posts

Sunday, January 13, 2013

What is a Financial Bubble? Part I

The idea that drives this metaphor is blowing a bubble. One can blow it larger and larger but eventually it pops. Some economists have denied the existence of bubbles while others have expressed skepticism that the concept is well-defined enough to be scientifically meaningful. Eugene Fama, a prominent supporter of the Efficient Markets Hypothesis, stated as much in an interview in The New Yorker.

I share these reservations over defining a bubble but I still suspect it's a useful concept. As a result, I'd like to explore the issue a bit. I'll be doing so in a series looking at various examples and aspects of financial bubbles in order to get a better grip on whether or not we can give it a meaningful definition.