Financial Mathematics Text

Showing posts with label currency. Show all posts
Showing posts with label currency. Show all posts

Sunday, March 10, 2013

The Dollar is an Excellent Store of Value

To start off, I don't believe the title of this blog, at least not in the usual sense of how the dollar is defined. I would like to suggest, however, that the dollar has been, historically speaking, a good store of value. Whether or not it will do be so in the future is anyone's guess.

If you've ever had the "privilege"  of reading an economics textbook, it will give you a functional definition of money - money is defined in terms its functions. For example, according to the wikipedia article on money, money serves the following four functions:
  1. Medium of Exchange
  2. Unit of Account
  3. Store of Value
  4. Standard of Deferred Payment
The article notes that many economics texts do not list "standard of deferred payment", instead, treating it as parts of the other functions.

As far as the dollar is concerned, it's frequently acknowledged to satisfy 1, 2 an 4 but not 3.  I can use dollars to make all sorts of purchases (medium of exchange), all of the goods and services and debts are denominated in dollars (unit of account) and all of my debts can be dispelled by the use of dollars as a result of legal tender laws (standard of deferred payment).

But regarding store of value, the dollar has not served so well. As I illustrated in Figure 2 from my blog on Currency and Price Stability (reproduced here), the dollar has lost a significant amount of purchasing power over the years.

Sunday, January 13, 2013

What is a Financial Bubble? Part I

The idea that drives this metaphor is blowing a bubble. One can blow it larger and larger but eventually it pops. Some economists have denied the existence of bubbles while others have expressed skepticism that the concept is well-defined enough to be scientifically meaningful. Eugene Fama, a prominent supporter of the Efficient Markets Hypothesis, stated as much in an interview in The New Yorker.

I share these reservations over defining a bubble but I still suspect it's a useful concept. As a result, I'd like to explore the issue a bit. I'll be doing so in a series looking at various examples and aspects of financial bubbles in order to get a better grip on whether or not we can give it a meaningful definition.